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Destined for War
Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? | Graham Allison
3 posts | 5 read | 4 to read
CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydidess Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable. Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries great again, the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydidess Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.
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Davidtk20
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Somewhat with a misleading title, Graham Allison lays out the conundrum a ruling power faces when a rising power attempts to displace it in “Destined for War. ” Quite the fascinating read.
Time will tell how the saga between America & China ends.

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Trace
Mehso-so

Appreciated a lot of the historical examples as well as the author‘s opinions and holistic view. The book lost steam about halfway into it but then recovered.

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QuintusMarcus
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Stunning book that lays out the many unfortunately easy ways the the US and China could blunder into open war. There is a way out, but Americans aren't going to like it- basically, we need to ask ourselves, what is most strategically critical to us? Is it really attempting to dominate the Chinese in the South China Sea? Is there room for us to negotiate some give and take? Excellent, essential book.

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