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Debunking overly optimistic theories of an idyllic post-Cold War world, the author of Balkan Ghosts predicts that war, ethnic conflict, random violence, and fear will be hallmarks of the next century. Reprint. 30,000 first printing.
Dated (pre-9/11) read on the problems of the post-Cold War phase. Some prescient given current events, some ... well, not especially prescient, but Kaplan's writing is usually deep and interesting enough.